BrightView Holdings, Inc. logo BV - BrightView Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 7
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $13.37 DETAILS
HIGH: $16.00
LOW: $11.10
MEDIAN: $13.00
CONSENSUS: $13.37
UPSIDE: 6.20%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 24.6% above fair value
Current Price $12.59
Bear Case $8.08 35.8% downside ($8.08 - $12.59) / $12.59 = -35.8% $0.62 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $10.11 19.7% downside ($10.11 - $12.59) / $12.59 = -19.7% $0.62 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $12.12 3.7% downside ($12.12 - $12.59) / $12.59 = -3.7% $0.62 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.62$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 20.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $13.37 from 13 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $10.11 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $13.37 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 31% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples