BTDR - Bitdeer Technologies Group
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$20.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$23.00
LOW:
$17.00
MEDIAN:
$21.00
CONSENSUS:
$20.50
UPSIDE:
112.88%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
32.2x
0.28$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (32x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
34.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 32x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.28, the base-case value is $9.03 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (12 analysts)
$20.50
Analyst Range
$17.00 – $23.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
56%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $20.50 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 56% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
This stock is 65% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples