Bitdeer Technologies Group logo BTDR - Bitdeer Technologies Group

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $20.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $23.00
LOW: $17.00
MEDIAN: $21.00
CONSENSUS: $20.50
UPSIDE: 112.88%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 6.6% above fair value
Current Price $9.63
Bear Case $7.56 21.5% downside ($7.56 - $9.63) / $9.63 = -21.5% $0.28 × 27x P/E
Fair Value $9.03 6.2% downside ($9.03 - $9.63) / $9.63 = -6.2% $0.28 × 32x P/E
Bull Case $10.50 9.0% upside ($10.50 - $9.63) / $9.63 = 9.0% $0.28 × 38x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

32.2x
0.28$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (32x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 34.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 32x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.28, the base-case value is $9.03 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $20.50
Analyst Range $17.00 – $23.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 56%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $20.50 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 56% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
⚠ This stock is 65% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples