Bentley Systems, Incorporated logo BSY - Bentley Systems, Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 4
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $41.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $43.00
LOW: $40.00
MEDIAN: $41.50
CONSENSUS: $41.50
UPSIDE: 23.11%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 24.3% below fair value
Current Price $33.71
Bear Case $27.68 17.9% downside ($27.68 - $33.71) / $33.71 = -17.9% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $44.54 32.1% upside ($44.54 - $33.71) / $33.71 = 32.1% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $62.98 86.8% upside ($62.98 - $33.71) / $33.71 = 86.8% 19% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

14.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (14% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%
Implied Market Multiple 23.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) 10.9% vs our 14.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 14% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $44.54 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $41.50
Analyst Range $40.00 – $43.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 7%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions