Dutch Bros Inc. logo BROS - Dutch Bros Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 21
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $74.85 DETAILS
HIGH: $87.00
LOW: $61.00
MEDIAN: $75.00
CONSENSUS: $74.85
UPSIDE: 43.61%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Platform & Compounding FCF

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

F 30.0 / 100 pillar composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for platform & compounding fcf businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

⚠ 2 of the last 5 fiscal years showed negative net income — AlphaQuality will not grade above F for persistent unprofitability in a platform & compounding fcf business.

Grade overrides the 30.0 pillar composite because hard gates always win. Use the pillar breakdown below to see where the underlying numbers sit.

Profitability

Weight: 25%
C- 44.3
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 2.1% 20/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +7.30 pp/yr 100/100
Contributes 11.1 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
F 16.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 2.9% 25/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 28.7% 0/100
Contributes 2.4 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 25%
A+ 100.0
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 34.7% 100/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 376.9% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 5/5 100/100
Contributes 25.0 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 20%
F 0.0
  • 5yr FCF Margin -5.8% 0/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion -16.72x 0/100
Contributes 0.0 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 10%
B- 64.9
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 2.94x 51/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 5.79x 68/100
  • Altman Z-Score 3.36 85/100
Contributes 6.5 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 5%
C- 50.5
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.72 12/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 0/5 100/100
Contributes 2.5 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

3 of 4 gurus held; 2 added; 1 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
3 -1
Avg Δ position
-4.1%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (25%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (25%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (20%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (10%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (5%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.