Bank of Hawaii Corporation logo BOH - Bank of Hawaii Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 9
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $85.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $85.00
LOW: $85.00
MEDIAN: $85.00
CONSENSUS: $85.00
UPSIDE: 11.10%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 6.4% below fair value
Current Price $76.51
Bear Case $50.13 34.5% downside ($50.13 - $76.51) / $76.51 = -34.5% ROTCE 8.5% → 1.09x TBV
Fair Value $81.74 6.8% upside ($81.74 - $76.51) / $76.51 = 6.8% ROTCE 11.3% → 1.77x TBV
Bull Case $100.71 31.6% upside ($100.71 - $76.51) / $76.51 = 31.6% ROTCE 13.0% → 2.18x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

11.3%
8.1%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (11.3%) vs. cost of equity (8.1%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.66x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 11.3% vs. 8.1% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.77x on $46.13 tangible book, implying $81.74 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $85.00
Analyst Range $85.00 – $85.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 4%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly