Boston Omaha Corporation logo BOC - Boston Omaha Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $17.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $17.00
LOW: $17.00
MEDIAN: $17.00
CONSENSUS: $17.00
UPSIDE: 35.67%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 63.8% above fair value
Current Price $12.53
Bear Case $6.12 51.2% downside ($6.12 - $12.53) / $12.53 = -51.2% $0.34 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $7.65 38.9% downside ($7.65 - $12.53) / $12.53 = -38.9% $0.34 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $9.18 26.7% downside ($9.18 - $12.53) / $12.53 = -26.7% $0.34 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.5x
0.34$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 36.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.34, the base-case value is $7.65 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples