BNL - Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$23.57
DETAILS
HIGH:
$26.00
LOW:
$20.00
MEDIAN:
$24.00
CONSENSUS:
$23.57
UPSIDE:
11.76%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Diversified REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.0x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($1.39) × diversified P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
15.1x
Plain-Language Summary
At $1.39 FFO/share with a 17x diversified REIT multiple, the base-case value is $22.28 per share. Dividend yield: 5.5%. DDM cross-check: $19.04.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (13 analysts)
$23.57
Analyst Range
$20.00 – $26.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
5%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend yield of 5.5% is unusually high — make sure the company generates enough cash to keep paying it.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify