Brookfield Corporation logo BN - Brookfield Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $58.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $61.00
LOW: $54.00
MEDIAN: $59.50
CONSENSUS: $58.50
UPSIDE: 53.24%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 211.9% above fair value
Current Price $38.17
Bear Case $8.57 77.6% downside ($8.57 - $38.17) / $38.17 = -77.6% ROTCE 4.0% → 0.30x TBV
Fair Value $12.24 67.9% downside ($12.24 - $38.17) / $38.17 = -67.9% ROTCE 2.7% → 0.30x TBV
Bull Case $15.91 58.3% downside ($15.91 - $38.17) / $38.17 = -58.3% ROTCE 3.1% → 0.30x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

2.7%
14.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (2.7%) vs. cost of equity (14.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.78x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 2.7% vs. 14.0% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 0.30x on $21.40 tangible book, implying $12.24 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (9 analysts) $58.50
Analyst Range $54.00 – $61.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 79%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (2.7%) is below the minimum investors require (14.0%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
Wall Street's average price target is $58.50 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 79% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly