Bladex, Inc. logo BLX - Bladex, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
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BUY 2
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 54.0% below fair value
Current Price $54.67
Bear Case $76.69 40.3% upside ($76.69 - $54.67) / $54.67 = 40.3% ROTCE 10.2% → 1.32x TBV
Fair Value $118.74 117.2% upside ($118.74 - $54.67) / $54.67 = 117.2% ROTCE 13.6% → 2.05x TBV
Bull Case $143.97 163.3% upside ($143.97 - $54.67) / $54.67 = 163.3% ROTCE 15.6% → 2.48x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

13.6%
8.7%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (13.6%) vs. cost of equity (8.7%)

Implied Market Multiple 0.94x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 13.6% vs. 8.7% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.05x on $58.04 tangible book, implying $118.74 per share.

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly