Bladex, Inc. logo BLX - Bladex, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 55.0% below fair value
Current Price $53.92
Bear Case $77.41 43.6% upside ($77.41 - $53.92) / $53.92 = 43.6% ROTCE 10.2% → 1.33x TBV
Fair Value $119.86 122.3% upside ($119.86 - $53.92) / $53.92 = 122.3% ROTCE 13.6% → 2.06x TBV
Bull Case $145.33 169.5% upside ($145.33 - $53.92) / $53.92 = 169.5% ROTCE 15.6% → 2.50x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

13.6%
8.7%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (13.6%) vs. cost of equity (8.7%)

Implied Market Multiple 0.93x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 13.6% vs. 8.7% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.06x on $58.04 tangible book, implying $119.86 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly