BKR - Baker Hughes Company
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$72.27
DETAILS
HIGH:
$80.00
LOW:
$51.00
MEDIAN:
$73.00
CONSENSUS:
$72.27
UPSIDE:
16.56%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Oil & Gas E&P
85% confidence
Primary model: FCF at Price Deck × Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
75.0$/bbl
13.0x
Key Value Driver
Oil price assumption ($75/bbl base case)
Implied Market Multiple
23.3x
Plain-Language Summary
At $75/bbl oil with a 13x EV/FCF multiple, intrinsic value is $33.67 per share. Range: $19.18 (bear) to $51.89 (bull).
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (45 analysts)
$72.27
Analyst Range
$51.00 – $80.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
53%
Warnings
Where you think oil prices will settle long-term drives over 80% of this valuation. The biggest risk isn't the company itself — it's getting the commodity price wrong.
Wall Street's average price target is $72.27 (from 45 analysts). Our estimate is 53% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — commodity volumes do not compound
- Geopolitical premiums are real but historically temporary
- Reserve replacement ratio below 100% for 3 years is existential