BKR - Baker Hughes Company
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$72.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$80.00
LOW:
$60.00
MEDIAN:
$73.00
CONSENSUS:
$72.00
UPSIDE:
25.09%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Oil & Gas E&P
85% confidence
Primary model: FCF at Price Deck × Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
75.0$/bbl
13.0x
Key Value Driver
Oil price assumption ($75/bbl base case)
Implied Market Multiple
23.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on free cash flow under different commodity price assumptions and a valuation multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $72.00 from 45 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $43.33 per share.
Warnings
Where you think oil prices will settle long-term drives over 80% of this valuation. The biggest risk isn't the company itself — it's getting the commodity price wrong.
Wall Street's average price target is $72.00 (from 45 analysts). Our estimate is 57% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — commodity volumes do not compound
- Geopolitical premiums are real but historically temporary
- Reserve replacement ratio below 100% for 3 years is existential