BKE - The Buckle, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$47.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$47.00
LOW:
$47.00
MEDIAN:
$47.00
CONSENSUS:
$47.00
UPSIDE:
15.28%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
4.14$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
9.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.14, the base-case value is $62.10 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (20 analysts)
$47.00
Analyst Range
$47.00 – $47.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
32%
Warnings
The company pays out 106% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $47.00 (from 20 analysts). Our estimate is 32% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples