BILL - Bill.com Holdings, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$56.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$60.00
LOW:
$50.00
MEDIAN:
$56.00
CONSENSUS:
$56.33
UPSIDE:
11.10%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
13.6%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (14% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
42%
Implied Market Multiple
9.7x
Market is pricing in (growth)
-1.0%
vs our 13.6% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 14% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $147.44 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (32 analysts)
$56.33
Analyst Range
$50.00 – $60.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
162%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $56.33 (from 32 analysts). Our estimate is 162% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions