BIIB - Biogen Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$243.60
DETAILS
HIGH:
$300.00
LOW:
$157.00
MEDIAN:
$248.00
CONSENSUS:
$243.60
UPSIDE:
9.98%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
14.0x
15.22$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
14.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $15.22, the base-case value is $213.05 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (49 analysts)
$243.60
Analyst Range
$157.00 – $300.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
13%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 72%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples