BIIB - Biogen Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$212.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$260.00
LOW:
$143.00
MEDIAN:
$222.00
CONSENSUS:
$212.00
UPSIDE:
9.41%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
14.0x
14.57$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
13.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $212.00 from 48 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $206.36 per share.
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 65%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples