Benchmark Electronics, Inc. logo BHE - Benchmark Electronics, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $91.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $92.00
LOW: $90.00
MEDIAN: $91.00
CONSENSUS: $91.00
UPSIDE: 26.93%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 107.4% above fair value
Current Price $71.69
Bear Case $29.66 58.6% downside ($29.66 - $71.69) / $71.69 = -58.6% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $34.57 51.8% downside ($34.57 - $71.69) / $71.69 = -51.8% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $38.82 45.9% downside ($38.82 - $71.69) / $71.69 = -45.9% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 31.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) 15.2% vs our 5.3% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 5% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $34.57 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (9 analysts) $91.00
Analyst Range $90.00 – $92.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 62%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 69% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $91.00 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 62% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions