BFAM - Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$78.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$88.00
LOW:
$68.00
MEDIAN:
$78.00
CONSENSUS:
$78.00
UPSIDE:
11.03%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
11.8%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (12% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
40%
Implied Market Multiple
20.0x
Market is pricing in (growth)
9.0%
vs our 11.8% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $94.10 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (20 analysts)
$78.00
Analyst Range
$68.00 – $88.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
21%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions