Brookfield Renewable Corporation logo BEPC - Brookfield Renewable Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 2
HOLD 1
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $36.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $36.00
LOW: $36.00
MEDIAN: $36.00
CONSENSUS: $36.00
DOWNSIDE: 4.00%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 51.2% below fair value
Current Price $37.50
Bear Case $62.85 67.6% upside ($62.85 - $37.50) / $37.50 = 67.6% $2.55 × 25x P/E
Fair Value $76.82 104.9% upside ($76.82 - $37.50) / $37.50 = 104.9% $2.55 × 30x P/E
Bull Case $90.79 142.1% upside ($90.79 - $37.50) / $37.50 = 142.1% $2.55 × 36x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

30.1x
2.55$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (30x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 14.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 30x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.55, the base-case value is $76.82 per share. DDM cross-check: $41.49.

Warnings

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $41.49 (below our primary estimate by 46%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples