Brookfield Renewable Corporation logo BEPC - Brookfield Renewable Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 2
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $39.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $39.00
LOW: $39.00
MEDIAN: $39.00
CONSENSUS: $39.00
UPSIDE: 18.61%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 33.0% below fair value
Current Price $32.88
Bear Case $40.12 22.0% upside ($40.12 - $32.88) / $32.88 = 22.0% $1.63 × 25x P/E
Fair Value $49.04 49.2% upside ($49.04 - $32.88) / $32.88 = 49.2% $1.63 × 30x P/E
Bull Case $57.96 76.3% upside ($57.96 - $32.88) / $32.88 = 76.3% $1.63 × 36x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

30.1x
1.63$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (30x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 20.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 30x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.63, the base-case value is $49.04 per share. DDM cross-check: $41.91.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples