BEN - Franklin Resources, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$34.60
DETAILS
HIGH:
$36.00
LOW:
$34.00
MEDIAN:
$34.00
CONSENSUS:
$34.60
UPSIDE:
1.32%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
30.8%
13.0%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (30.8%) vs. cost of equity (13.0%)
Implied Market Multiple
10.4x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 30.8% vs. 13.0% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.34x on $3.28 tangible book, implying $36.40 per share. DDM cross-check: $12.86.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (27 analysts)
$34.60
Analyst Range
$34.00 – $36.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
5%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $12.86 (65% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly