Bel Fuse Inc. logo BELFB - Bel Fuse Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $311.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $326.00
LOW: $293.00
MEDIAN: $315.00
CONSENSUS: $311.33
UPSIDE: 48.67%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 40.6% below fair value
Current Price $209.41
Bear Case $161.92 22.7% downside ($161.92 - $209.41) / $209.41 = -22.7% 15% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $352.59 68.4% upside ($352.59 - $209.41) / $209.41 = 68.4% 25% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $619.02 195.6% upside ($619.02 - $209.41) / $209.41 = 195.6% 33% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

25.0%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (25% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 45%
Implied Market Multiple 34.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 18.3% vs our 25.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 25% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $352.59 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (8 analysts) $311.33
Analyst Range $293.00 – $326.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 13%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions