AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Boise Cascade Company's fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag BCC as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Boise Cascade Company's fair value?

Fair value for BCC is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value BCC?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from BCC's most recent reported fundamentals.

BCC - Boise Cascade Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $94.50 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive 80% confidence

Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong

Trading 65.1% below fair value

Current Price $67.16

Bear Case $149.40 122.4% upside ($149.40 - $67.16) / $67.16 = 122.4% $12.12 × 14x + net cash

Fair Value $192.40 186.5% upside ($192.40 - $67.16) / $67.16 = 186.5% $12.12 × 18x + net cash

Bull Case $235.41 250.5% upside ($235.41 - $67.16) / $67.16 = 250.5% $12.12 × 22x + net cash

Adjust Assumptions

Cycle P/E Multiple

18.0x

Normalized EPS

12.12$

Key Value Driver

Through-cycle normalized EPS ($12.12)

Implied Market Multiple 5.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $94.50 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $192.40 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $94.50 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 130% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing