BBW - Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$38.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$40.00
LOW:
$37.00
MEDIAN:
$38.50
CONSENSUS:
$38.50
UPSIDE:
55.30%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.2x
3.99$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
6.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.99, the base-case value is $88.49 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (11 analysts)
$38.50
Analyst Range
$37.00 – $40.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
130%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $38.50 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 130% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples