BBSI - Barrett Business Services, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$40.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$44.00
LOW:
$38.00
MEDIAN:
$38.00
CONSENSUS:
$40.00
UPSIDE:
16.38%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
7.1%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (7% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
36%
Implied Market Multiple
17.9x
Market is pricing in (growth)
7.5%
vs our 7.1% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 7% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $33.50 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (5 analysts)
$40.00
Analyst Range
$38.00 – $44.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
16%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions