Barrett Business Services, Inc. logo BBSI - Barrett Business Services, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 4
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $46.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $46.00
LOW: $46.00
MEDIAN: $46.00
CONSENSUS: $46.00
UPSIDE: 45.94%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 21.6% below fair value
Current Price $31.52
Bear Case $33.70 6.9% upside ($33.70 - $31.52) / $31.52 = 6.9% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $40.21 27.6% upside ($40.21 - $31.52) / $31.52 = 27.6% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $46.12 46.3% upside ($46.12 - $31.52) / $31.52 = 46.3% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

7.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (7% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 36%
Implied Market Multiple 13.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $46.00 from 5 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $40.21 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions