BB - BlackBerry Limited
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$10.43
DETAILS
HIGH:
$13.00
LOW:
$8.00
MEDIAN:
$9.50
CONSENSUS:
$10.43
UPSIDE:
10.62%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
21.5x
0.09$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
104.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.09, the base-case value is $1.93 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (14 analysts)
$10.43
Analyst Range
$8.00 – $13.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
81%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $10.43 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 81% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples