BB - BlackBerry Limited
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$10.54
DETAILS
HIGH:
$13.00
LOW:
$8.00
MEDIAN:
$10.30
CONSENSUS:
$10.54
UPSIDE:
25.18%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
21.5x
0.33$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
25.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $10.54 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $7.72 per share.
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 263%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $10.54 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 33% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples