Bandwidth Inc. logo BAND - Bandwidth Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 3
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $65.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $85.00
LOW: $52.00
MEDIAN: $60.00
CONSENSUS: $65.67
UPSIDE: 50.03%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 212.5% above fair value
Current Price $43.77
Bear Case $0.46 98.9% downside ($0.46 - $43.77) / $43.77 = -98.9% 11% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $14.01 68.0% downside ($14.01 - $43.77) / $43.77 = -68.0% 19% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $30.33 30.7% downside ($30.33 - $43.77) / $43.77 = -30.7% 24% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

18.5%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (19% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 67.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 27.4% vs our 18.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 19% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $14.01 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (16 analysts) $65.67
Analyst Range $52.00 – $85.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 79%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $65.67 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 79% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
This stock is 45% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions