Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. logo BAM - Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 9
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $55.58 DETAILS
HIGH: $65.00
LOW: $41.00
MEDIAN: $57.50
CONSENSUS: $55.58
UPSIDE: 20.35%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 7.5% below fair value
Current Price $46.18
Bear Case $34.94 24.3% downside ($34.94 - $46.18) / $46.18 = -24.3% ROTCE 20.0% → 2.15x TBV
Fair Value $49.92 8.1% upside ($49.92 - $46.18) / $46.18 = 8.1% ROTCE 25.0% → 2.83x TBV
Bull Case $64.90 40.5% upside ($64.90 - $46.18) / $46.18 = 40.5% ROTCE 30.0% → 3.50x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

29.5%
11.4%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (29.5%) vs. cost of equity (11.4%)

Implied Market Multiple 8.75x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 29.5% vs. 11.4% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.83x on $5.28 tangible book, implying $49.92 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (20 analysts) $55.58
Analyst Range $41.00 – $65.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 10%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly