BAM - Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$58.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$65.00
LOW:
$50.00
MEDIAN:
$59.00
CONSENSUS:
$58.50
UPSIDE:
12.15%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
29.5%
11.2%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (29.5%) vs. cost of equity (11.2%)
Implied Market Multiple
9.88x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 29.5% vs. 11.2% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.92x on $5.28 tangible book, implying $49.92 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (20 analysts)
$58.50
Analyst Range
$50.00 – $65.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
15%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly