Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. logo BAM - Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 9
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $58.21 DETAILS
HIGH: $65.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $58.00
CONSENSUS: $58.21
UPSIDE: 24.59%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 10.2% below fair value
Current Price $46.72
Bear Case $36.40 22.1% downside ($36.40 - $46.72) / $46.72 = -22.1% ROTCE 20.0% → 2.21x TBV
Fair Value $52.00 11.3% upside ($52.00 - $46.72) / $46.72 = 11.3% ROTCE 25.0% → 3.53x TBV
Bull Case $67.60 44.7% upside ($67.60 - $46.72) / $46.72 = 44.7% ROTCE 30.0% → 3.60x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

29.5%
11.2%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (29.5%) vs. cost of equity (11.2%)

Implied Market Multiple 8.85x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $58.21 from 20 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $52.00 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly