Baidu, Inc. logo BAIDF - Baidu, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 32
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 1.5% below fair value
Current Price $10.00
Bear Case $8.12 18.8% downside ($8.12 - $10.00) / $10.00 = -18.8% $0.68 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $10.15 1.5% upside ($10.15 - $10.00) / $10.00 = 1.5% $0.68 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $12.18 21.8% upside ($12.18 - $10.00) / $10.00 = 21.8% $0.68 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.68$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 14.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.68, the base-case value is $10.15 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 207%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
ℹ Financial statements were converted from CNY into USD using USDCNY at 0.1498 USD per CNY.
⚠ This stock is 52% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples