Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation logo BAH - Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 8
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $90.43 DETAILS
HIGH: $140.00
LOW: $65.00
MEDIAN: $80.00
CONSENSUS: $90.43
UPSIDE: 21.77%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 28.5% below fair value
Current Price $74.26
Bear Case $90.55 21.9% upside ($90.55 - $74.26) / $74.26 = 21.9% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $103.82 39.8% upside ($103.82 - $74.26) / $74.26 = 39.8% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $117.42 58.1% upside ($117.42 - $74.26) / $74.26 = 58.1% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 11.1x
Market is pricing in (growth) 0.9% vs our 4.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 4% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $103.82 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (22 analysts) $90.43
Analyst Range $65.00 – $140.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 15%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions