Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation logo BAH - Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 9
HOLD 10
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $94.20 DETAILS
HIGH: $110.00
LOW: $81.00
MEDIAN: $97.00
CONSENSUS: $94.20
UPSIDE: 19.73%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 4.7% below fair value
Current Price $78.68
Bear Case $71.19 9.5% downside ($71.19 - $78.68) / $78.68 = -9.5% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $82.60 5.0% upside ($82.60 - $78.68) / $78.68 = 5.0% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $94.19 19.7% upside ($94.19 - $78.68) / $78.68 = 19.7% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 14.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $94.20 from 21 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $82.60 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions