BAH - Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$90.43
DETAILS
HIGH:
$140.00
LOW:
$65.00
MEDIAN:
$80.00
CONSENSUS:
$90.43
UPSIDE:
21.77%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
4.5%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (4% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
34%
Implied Market Multiple
11.1x
Market is pricing in (growth)
0.9%
vs our 4.5% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 4% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $103.82 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (22 analysts)
$90.43
Analyst Range
$65.00 – $140.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
15%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions