Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation logo BAH - Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 10
HOLD 9
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $82.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $110.00
LOW: $65.00
MEDIAN: $81.00
CONSENSUS: $82.00
UPSIDE: 25.75%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 16.2% below fair value
Current Price $65.21
Bear Case $69.49 6.6% upside ($69.49 - $65.21) / $65.21 = 6.6% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $77.79 19.3% upside ($77.79 - $65.21) / $65.21 = 19.3% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $87.86 34.7% upside ($87.86 - $65.21) / $65.21 = 34.7% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 12.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 2.6% vs our 4.1% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $82.00 from 21 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $77.79 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions