Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation logo BAH - Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 10
HOLD 9
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $82.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $110.00
LOW: $65.00
MEDIAN: $81.00
CONSENSUS: $82.00
UPSIDE: 29.01%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 18.3% below fair value
Current Price $63.56
Bear Case $69.49 9.3% upside ($69.49 - $63.56) / $63.56 = 9.3% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $77.79 22.4% upside ($77.79 - $63.56) / $63.56 = 22.4% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $87.86 38.2% upside ($87.86 - $63.56) / $63.56 = 38.2% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 12.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) 2.3% vs our 4.1% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $82.00 from 21 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $77.79 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions