BAC-PB - Bank of America Corporation
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$40.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$40.00
LOW:
$40.00
MEDIAN:
$40.00
CONSENSUS:
$40.00
UPSIDE:
60.13%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
13.0%
10.8%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (13.0%) vs. cost of equity (10.8%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.49x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $40.00 from 39 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $50.32 per share.
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $40.00 (from 39 analysts). Our estimate is 37% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly