AZZ Inc. logo AZZ - AZZ Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $150.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $155.00
LOW: $144.00
MEDIAN: $152.00
CONSENSUS: $150.33
UPSIDE: 10.12%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 50.1% below fair value
Current Price $136.52
Bear Case $213.14 56.1% upside ($213.14 - $136.52) / $136.52 = 56.1% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $273.52 100.4% upside ($273.52 - $136.52) / $136.52 = 100.4% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $329.60 141.4% upside ($329.60 - $136.52) / $136.52 = 141.4% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

7.9%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 9.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) -0.9% vs our 7.9% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 8% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $273.52 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $150.33
Analyst Range $144.00 – $155.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 82%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $150.33 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 82% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions