AZZ - AZZ Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$150.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$155.00
LOW:
$144.00
MEDIAN:
$152.00
CONSENSUS:
$150.33
UPSIDE:
0.23%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
7.9%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (8% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
37%
Implied Market Multiple
11.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
1.6%
vs our 7.9% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $150.33 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $228.29 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $150.33 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 65% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions