AZZ Inc. logo AZZ - AZZ Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $147.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $152.00
LOW: $144.00
MEDIAN: $147.50
CONSENSUS: $147.75
UPSIDE: 11.63%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 52.7% below fair value
Current Price $132.36
Bear Case $216.20 63.3% upside ($216.20 - $132.36) / $132.36 = 63.3% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $280.08 111.6% upside ($280.08 - $132.36) / $132.36 = 111.6% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $339.88 156.8% upside ($339.88 - $132.36) / $132.36 = 156.8% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 9.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) -1.3% vs our 8.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 8% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $280.08 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (13 analysts) $147.75
Analyst Range $144.00 – $152.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 90%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $147.75 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 90% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions