AZZ Inc. logo AZZ - AZZ Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $153.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $155.00
LOW: $152.00
MEDIAN: $153.50
CONSENSUS: $153.50
UPSIDE: 11.31%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 35.4% below fair value
Current Price $137.90
Bear Case $171.83 24.6% upside ($171.83 - $137.90) / $137.90 = 24.6% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $213.38 54.7% upside ($213.38 - $137.90) / $137.90 = 54.7% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $250.85 81.9% upside ($250.85 - $137.90) / $137.90 = 81.9% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

6.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (7% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 36%
Implied Market Multiple 10.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $153.50 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $213.38 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $153.50 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 49% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions