AZZ - AZZ Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$147.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$152.00
LOW:
$144.00
MEDIAN:
$147.50
CONSENSUS:
$147.75
UPSIDE:
11.63%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
8.2%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (8% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
37%
Implied Market Multiple
9.5x
Market is pricing in (growth)
-1.3%
vs our 8.2% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 8% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $280.08 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (13 analysts)
$147.75
Analyst Range
$144.00 – $152.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
90%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $147.75 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 90% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions