Azenta, Inc. logo AZTA - Azenta, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $43.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $45.00
LOW: $38.00
MEDIAN: $44.50
CONSENSUS: $43.00
UPSIDE: 15.28%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 178.9% above fair value
Current Price $37.30
Bear Case $11.82 68.3% downside ($11.82 - $37.30) / $37.30 = -68.3% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $13.38 64.1% downside ($13.38 - $37.30) / $37.30 = -64.1% 7% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $14.80 60.3% downside ($14.80 - $37.30) / $37.30 = -60.3% 10% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

7.5%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (7% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 32%
Implied Market Multiple 62.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) 26.2% vs our 7.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 7% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $13.38 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $43.00
Analyst Range $38.00 – $45.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 69%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $43.00 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 69% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions