AZTA - Azenta, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$44.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$45.00
LOW:
$44.00
MEDIAN:
$44.50
CONSENSUS:
$44.50
UPSIDE:
120.52%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Distressed or Transitioning
75% confidence
Primary model: Current FCF × Depressed Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
6.0x
Key Value Driver
Whether the core business model is intact or structurally impaired
Implied Market Multiple
18.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses Current FCF × Depressed Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $44.50 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $16.88 per share.
Warnings
Don't assume past cash flow levels will return — the company's troubles may have permanently reduced its ability to generate profits.
A stock can look cheap on paper and still lose half its value if the underlying business is permanently damaged.
The wide range between our best and worst cases is intentional — pretending to know a precise value for a troubled company would be misleading.
Wall Street's average price target is $44.50 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 78% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Bullish DCF projections are fundamentally unknowable for distressed companies
- M&A speculation can floor the stock above intrinsic value temporarily
- Management credibility is a key input — new CEO expands the bull case