Azenta, Inc. logo AZTA - Azenta, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $43.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $45.00
LOW: $38.00
MEDIAN: $44.50
CONSENSUS: $43.00
UPSIDE: 39.38%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 142.7% above fair value
Current Price $30.85
Bear Case $11.23 63.6% downside ($11.23 - $30.85) / $30.85 = -63.6% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $12.71 58.8% downside ($12.71 - $30.85) / $30.85 = -58.8% 7% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $14.07 54.4% downside ($14.07 - $30.85) / $30.85 = -54.4% 10% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

7.5%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (7% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 32%
Implied Market Multiple 52.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 24.0% vs our 7.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 7% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $12.71 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $43.00
Analyst Range $38.00 – $45.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 70%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $43.00 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 70% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions