AYI - Acuity Brands, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$375.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$415.00
LOW:
$348.00
MEDIAN:
$369.00
CONSENSUS:
$375.25
UPSIDE:
18.47%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
5.5%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (5% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
35%
Implied Market Multiple
13.1x
Market is pricing in (growth)
3.2%
vs our 5.5% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 5% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $374.02 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (33 analysts)
$375.25
Analyst Range
$348.00 – $415.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
0%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions