AYI - Acuity Brands, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$404.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$465.00
LOW:
$358.00
MEDIAN:
$390.00
CONSENSUS:
$404.33
UPSIDE:
21.04%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
9.7%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (10% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
39%
Implied Market Multiple
19.9x
Market is pricing in (growth)
8.9%
vs our 9.7% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 10% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $354.62 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (33 analysts)
$404.33
Analyst Range
$358.00 – $465.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
12%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions