Avnet, Inc. logo AVT - Avnet, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 6
HOLD 9
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $92.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $110.00
LOW: $72.00
MEDIAN: $95.00
CONSENSUS: $92.33
UPSIDE: 0.29%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 13.0% above fair value
Current Price $92.06
Bear Case $65.16 29.2% downside ($65.16 - $92.06) / $92.06 = -29.2% $5.43 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $81.45 11.5% downside ($81.45 - $92.06) / $92.06 = -11.5% $5.43 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $97.74 6.2% upside ($97.74 - $92.06) / $92.06 = 6.2% $5.43 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
5.43$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 17.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.43, the base-case value is $81.45 per share. DDM cross-check: $84.90.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (20 analysts) $92.33
Analyst Range $72.00 – $110.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 12%

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 35%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples