AVNT - Avient Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$47.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$54.00
LOW:
$43.00
MEDIAN:
$47.00
CONSENSUS:
$47.75
UPSIDE:
7.52%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
1.66$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
26.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.66, the base-case value is $24.90 per share. DDM cross-check: $22.75.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (21 analysts)
$47.75
Analyst Range
$43.00 – $54.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
48%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 87%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 124% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $47.75 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 48% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples