AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Atea Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag AVIR as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Atea Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for AVIR is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value AVIR?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from AVIR's most recent reported fundamentals.

AVIR - Atea Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $10.00 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong

Trading 84.6% below fair value

Current Price $4.42

Bear Case $24.66 457.9% upside ($24.66 - $4.42) / $4.42 = 457.9% $1.37 × 18x P/E

Fair Value $28.77 550.9% upside ($28.77 - $4.42) / $4.42 = 550.9% $1.37 × 21x P/E

Bull Case $32.88 643.9% upside ($32.88 - $4.42) / $4.42 = 643.9% $1.37 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

21.0x

Adjusted EPS

1.37$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 3.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 21x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.37, the base-case value is $28.77 per share.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples