ATRC - AtriCure, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$57.29
DETAILS
HIGH:
$65.00
LOW:
$50.00
MEDIAN:
$55.00
CONSENSUS:
$57.29
UPSIDE:
1.02%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
20.9%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (21% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
47%
Implied Market Multiple
144.5x
Market is pricing in (growth)
35.5%
vs our 20.9% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 21% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $20.31 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (20 analysts)
$57.29
Analyst Range
$50.00 – $65.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
65%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $57.29 (from 20 analysts). Our estimate is 65% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions