Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. logo ATMU - Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $56.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $56.00
LOW: $56.00
MEDIAN: $56.00
CONSENSUS: $56.00
UPSIDE: 18.57%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 27.3% below fair value
Current Price $47.23
Bear Case $55.00 16.5% upside ($55.00 - $47.23) / $47.23 = 16.5% $2.50 × 22x P/E
Fair Value $65.00 37.6% upside ($65.00 - $47.23) / $47.23 = 37.6% $2.50 × 26x P/E
Bull Case $75.00 58.8% upside ($75.00 - $47.23) / $47.23 = 58.8% $2.50 × 30x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

26.0x
2.5$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (26x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 18.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 26x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.50, the base-case value is $65.00 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (5 analysts) $56.00
Analyst Range $56.00 – $56.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 16%

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples