Adtalem Global Education Inc. logo ATGE - Adtalem Global Education Inc.

Inactive Ticker ATGE is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $92.86 DETAILS
HIGH: $170.00
LOW: $26.00
MEDIAN: $84.00
CONSENSUS: $92.86
DOWNSIDE: 12.92%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 54.5% below fair value
Current Price $106.64
Bear Case $170.65 60.0% upside ($170.65 - $106.64) / $106.64 = 60.0% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $234.53 119.9% upside ($234.53 - $106.64) / $106.64 = 119.9% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $297.29 178.8% upside ($297.29 - $106.64) / $106.64 = 178.8% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 10.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 0.1% vs our 10.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 10% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $234.53 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions