ATGE - Adtalem Global Education Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$92.86
DETAILS
HIGH:
$170.00
LOW:
$26.00
MEDIAN:
$84.00
CONSENSUS:
$92.86
DOWNSIDE:
12.92%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
10.0%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (10% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
39%
Implied Market Multiple
10.5x
Market is pricing in (growth)
0.1%
vs our 10.0% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 10% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $234.53 per share.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions