Adtalem Global Education Inc. logo ATGE - Adtalem Global Education Inc.

Inactive Ticker ATGE is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 3
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $138.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $138.00
LOW: $138.00
MEDIAN: $138.00
CONSENSUS: $138.00
UPSIDE: 29.41%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 45.1% below fair value
Current Price $106.64
Bear Case $121.14 13.6% upside ($121.14 - $106.64) / $106.64 = 13.6% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $194.41 82.3% upside ($194.41 - $106.64) / $106.64 = 82.3% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $274.67 157.6% upside ($274.67 - $106.64) / $106.64 = 157.6% 19% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

14.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (14% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%
Implied Market Multiple 17.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 14% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $194.41 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions