Anterix Inc. logo ATEX - Anterix Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $115.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $161.00
LOW: $69.00
MEDIAN: $115.00
CONSENSUS: $115.00
UPSIDE: 32.78%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 1694.4% above fair value
Current Price $86.61
Bear Case $4.83 94.4% downside ($4.83 - $86.61) / $86.61 = -94.4% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $4.83 94.4% downside ($4.83 - $86.61) / $86.61 = -94.4% 19% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $4.83 94.4% downside ($4.83 - $86.61) / $86.61 = -94.4% 25% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

19.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (19% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 0%

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 19% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $4.83 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (6 analysts) $115.00
Analyst Range $69.00 – $161.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 96%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $115.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 96% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions