Anterix Inc. logo ATEX - Anterix Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $69.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $69.00
LOW: $69.00
MEDIAN: $69.00
CONSENSUS: $69.00
DOWNSIDE: 31.66%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 471.6% above fair value
Current Price $100.96
Bear Case $17.66 82.5% downside ($17.66 - $100.96) / $100.96 = -82.5% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $17.66 82.5% downside ($17.66 - $100.96) / $100.96 = -82.5% 19% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $17.66 82.5% downside ($17.66 - $100.96) / $100.96 = -82.5% 25% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

19.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (19% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 0%

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $69.00 from 6 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $17.66 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $69.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 93% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions