ASUR - Asure Software, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$14.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$20.00
LOW:
$11.00
MEDIAN:
$14.00
CONSENSUS:
$14.75
UPSIDE:
69.93%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
18.0%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (18% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
45%
Implied Market Multiple
19.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $14.75 from 18 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $18.30 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $14.75 (from 18 analysts). Our estimate is 32% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions