Asure Software, Inc. logo ASUR - Asure Software, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 15
HOLD 1
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $14.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $20.00
LOW: $11.00
MEDIAN: $14.00
CONSENSUS: $14.75
UPSIDE: 69.93%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 52.6% below fair value
Current Price $8.68
Bear Case $9.91 14.2% upside ($9.91 - $8.68) / $8.68 = 14.2% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $18.30 110.9% upside ($18.30 - $8.68) / $8.68 = 110.9% 18% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $28.35 226.7% upside ($28.35 - $8.68) / $8.68 = 226.7% 23% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

18.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (18% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 45%
Implied Market Multiple 19.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $14.75 from 18 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $18.30 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $14.75 (from 18 analysts). Our estimate is 32% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions