ASGN Incorporated logo ASGN - ASGN Incorporated

Inactive Ticker ASGN is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 5
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $37.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $49.00
LOW: $33.00
MEDIAN: $35.00
CONSENSUS: $37.60
UPSIDE: 79.39%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 61.2% below fair value
Current Price $20.96
Bear Case $47.44 126.4% upside ($47.44 - $20.96) / $20.96 = 126.4% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $54.02 157.7% upside ($54.02 - $20.96) / $20.96 = 157.7% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $61.53 193.6% upside ($61.53 - $20.96) / $20.96 = 193.6% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 7.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $37.60 from 13 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $54.02 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 42% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $37.60 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 55% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions