AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies Arrow Electronics, Inc. as a Stable Earnings Power business and values it using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, then compares the result to the current market price to flag ARW as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Arrow Electronics, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for ARW comes from a P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Stable Earnings Power classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value ARW?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. ARW was classified as Stable Earnings Power and is valued using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, built from ARW's most recent reported fundamentals.

ARW - Arrow Electronics, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $225.00 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild

Trading 4.6% below fair value

Current Price $215.97

Bear Case $181.20 16.1% downside ($181.20 - $215.97) / $215.97 = -16.1% $15.10 × 12x P/E

Fair Value $226.50 4.9% upside ($226.50 - $215.97) / $215.97 = 4.9% $15.10 × 15x P/E

Bull Case $271.80 25.9% upside ($271.80 - $215.97) / $215.97 = 25.9% $15.10 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

15.0x

Adjusted EPS

15.1$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Terminal Value % of EV

Implied Market Multiple 14.3x

Market is pricing in (growth)

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $15.10, the base-case value is $226.50 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (17 analysts) $225.00

Analyst Range $175.00 – $250.00

Divergence from AlphaVal 1%

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 38%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples