ARHS - Arhaus, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$10.43
DETAILS
HIGH:
$12.00
LOW:
$8.00
MEDIAN:
$10.00
CONSENSUS:
$10.43
UPSIDE:
19.47%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
24.0x
0.48$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (24x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
18.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 24x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.48, the base-case value is $11.52 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (14 analysts)
$10.43
Analyst Range
$8.00 – $12.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
10%
Warnings
The company pays out 177% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples