Arhaus, Inc. logo ARHS - Arhaus, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $10.43 DETAILS
HIGH: $12.00
LOW: $8.00
MEDIAN: $10.00
CONSENSUS: $10.43
UPSIDE: 19.47%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 24.2% below fair value
Current Price $8.73
Bear Case $10.08 15.5% upside ($10.08 - $8.73) / $8.73 = 15.5% $0.48 × 21x P/E
Fair Value $11.52 32.0% upside ($11.52 - $8.73) / $8.73 = 32.0% $0.48 × 24x P/E
Bull Case $12.96 48.5% upside ($12.96 - $8.73) / $8.73 = 48.5% $0.48 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

24.0x
0.48$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (24x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 18.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 24x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.48, the base-case value is $11.52 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (14 analysts) $10.43
Analyst Range $8.00 – $12.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 10%

Warnings

The company pays out 177% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples