APTV - Aptiv PLC
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$89.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$110.00
LOW:
$71.00
MEDIAN:
$90.50
CONSENSUS:
$89.75
UPSIDE:
56.47%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.1x
4.27$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
13.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $89.75 from 33 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $77.95 per share.
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 470%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 117% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples