Digital Turbine, Inc. logo APPS - Digital Turbine, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $17.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $19.00
LOW: $15.00
MEDIAN: $18.00
CONSENSUS: $17.33
UPSIDE: 81.28%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 38.4% below fair value
Current Price $9.56
Bear Case $7.70 19.4% downside ($7.70 - $9.56) / $9.56 = -19.4% 11% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $15.53 62.4% upside ($15.53 - $9.56) / $9.56 = 62.4% 19% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $25.09 162.5% upside ($25.09 - $9.56) / $9.56 = 162.5% 25% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

19.1%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (19% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 24.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) 13.7% vs our 19.1% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 19% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $15.53 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $17.33
Analyst Range $15.00 – $19.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 10%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions