Digital Turbine, Inc. logo APPS - Digital Turbine, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $17.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $18.00
LOW: $17.50
MEDIAN: $17.75
CONSENSUS: $17.75
UPSIDE: 64.96%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 24.1% below fair value
Current Price $10.76
Bear Case $7.26 32.6% downside ($7.26 - $10.76) / $10.76 = -32.6% 11% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $14.19 31.8% upside ($14.19 - $10.76) / $10.76 = 31.8% 18% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $22.43 108.5% upside ($22.43 - $10.76) / $10.76 = 108.5% 23% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

18.0%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (18% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 27.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) 14.9% vs our 18.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 18% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $14.19 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $17.75
Analyst Range $17.50 – $18.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 20%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions