Digital Turbine, Inc. logo APPS - Digital Turbine, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 6
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $32.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $40.00
LOW: $10.00
MEDIAN: $40.00
CONSENSUS: $32.50
UPSIDE: 289.92%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 17.0% above fair value
Current Price $8.34
Bear Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $8.34) / $8.34 = -100.0% 10% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $7.12 14.5% downside ($7.12 - $8.34) / $8.34 = -14.5% 16% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $21.01 152.0% upside ($21.01 - $8.34) / $8.34 = 152.0% 21% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

16.3%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (16% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 93.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) 31.9% vs our 16.3% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $32.50 from 11 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $7.12 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $32.50 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 98% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions