A Paradise Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares logo APAD - A Paradise Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares

Inactive Ticker APAD is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 4324.2% above fair value
Current Price $8.03
Bear Case $0.15 98.2% downside ($0.15 - $8.03) / $8.03 = -98.2% $0.01 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $0.18 97.7% downside ($0.18 - $8.03) / $8.03 = -97.7% $0.01 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $0.22 97.3% downside ($0.22 - $8.03) / $8.03 = -97.3% $0.01 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.01$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 663.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.01, the base-case value is $0.18 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples