AORT - Artivion, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$42.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$45.00
LOW:
$40.00
MEDIAN:
$42.50
CONSENSUS:
$42.50
UPSIDE:
66.21%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.8x
0.21$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
121.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 18x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.21, the base-case value is $3.74 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (12 analysts)
$42.50
Analyst Range
$40.00 – $45.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
91%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $42.50 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 91% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples