ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. logo ANIP - ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $124.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $124.00
LOW: $124.00
MEDIAN: $124.00
CONSENSUS: $124.00
UPSIDE: 49.90%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 67.4% below fair value
Current Price $82.72
Bear Case $138.10 67.0% upside ($138.10 - $82.72) / $82.72 = 67.0% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $253.46 206.4% upside ($253.46 - $82.72) / $82.72 = 206.4% 20% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $398.34 381.6% upside ($398.34 - $82.72) / $82.72 = 381.6% 26% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

20.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (20% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 46%
Implied Market Multiple 13.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $124.00 from 10 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $253.46 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 48% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $124.00 (from 10 analysts). Our estimate is 131% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions