ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. logo ANIP - ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 4
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $99.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $119.00
LOW: $85.00
MEDIAN: $97.00
CONSENSUS: $99.50
UPSIDE: 37.64%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 68.0% below fair value
Current Price $72.29
Bear Case $133.18 84.2% upside ($133.18 - $72.29) / $72.29 = 84.2% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $226.07 212.7% upside ($226.07 - $72.29) / $72.29 = 212.7% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $335.82 364.5% upside ($335.82 - $72.29) / $72.29 = 364.5% 23% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

17.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (17% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 45%
Implied Market Multiple 12.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 2.3% vs our 17.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 17% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $226.07 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (10 analysts) $99.50
Analyst Range $85.00 – $119.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 127%

Warnings

⚠ Stock-based employee pay equals 48% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $99.50 (from 10 analysts). Our estimate is 127% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions