Angi Inc. logo ANGI - Angi Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 34
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $10.80 DETAILS
HIGH: $14.00
LOW: $6.00
MEDIAN: $11.00
CONSENSUS: $10.80
UPSIDE: 71.16%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 67.2% below fair value
Current Price $6.31
Bear Case $17.46 176.7% upside ($17.46 - $6.31) / $6.31 = 176.7% 3% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $19.23 204.8% upside ($19.23 - $6.31) / $6.31 = 204.8% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $21.36 238.5% upside ($21.36 - $6.31) / $6.31 = 238.5% 5% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.1%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 29%
Implied Market Multiple 4.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) -10.0% vs our 4.1% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $10.80 from 55 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $19.23 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 34% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $10.80 (from 55 analysts). Our estimate is 120% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions