Angi Inc. logo ANGI - Angi Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 34
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $11.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $14.00
LOW: $10.00
MEDIAN: $11.00
CONSENSUS: $11.60
UPSIDE: 85.90%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 68.0% below fair value
Current Price $6.24
Bear Case $17.71 183.9% upside ($17.71 - $6.24) / $6.24 = 183.9% 3% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $19.51 212.7% upside ($19.51 - $6.24) / $6.24 = 212.7% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $21.67 247.3% upside ($21.67 - $6.24) / $6.24 = 247.3% 5% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.1%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 29%
Implied Market Multiple 4.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) -10.1% vs our 4.1% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $11.60 from 54 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $19.51 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 34% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $11.60 (from 54 analysts). Our estimate is 105% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions