ANF - Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$117.57
DETAILS
HIGH:
$153.00
LOW:
$87.00
MEDIAN:
$118.00
CONSENSUS:
$117.57
UPSIDE:
4.64%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
4.2%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (4% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
34%
Implied Market Multiple
15.3x
Market is pricing in (growth)
5.4%
vs our 4.2% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 4% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $102.61 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (56 analysts)
$117.57
Analyst Range
$87.00 – $153.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
13%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions