Abercrombie & Fitch Co. logo ANF - Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 20
HOLD 28
SELL 8
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $101.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $136.00
LOW: $78.00
MEDIAN: $92.00
CONSENSUS: $101.60
UPSIDE: 9.17%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 8.0% below fair value
Current Price $93.07
Bear Case $92.76 0.3% downside ($92.76 - $93.07) / $93.07 = -0.3% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $101.11 8.6% upside ($101.11 - $93.07) / $93.07 = 8.6% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $111.41 19.7% upside ($111.41 - $93.07) / $93.07 = 19.7% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 12.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) 3.1% vs our 4.1% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $101.60 from 56 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $101.11 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions