Abercrombie & Fitch Co. logo ANF - Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 19
HOLD 28
SELL 8
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $112.83 DETAILS
HIGH: $149.00
LOW: $76.00
MEDIAN: $107.50
CONSENSUS: $112.83
UPSIDE: 46.04%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 31.5% below fair value
Current Price $77.26
Bear Case $99.93 29.3% upside ($99.93 - $77.26) / $77.26 = 29.3% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $112.76 45.9% upside ($112.76 - $77.26) / $77.26 = 45.9% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $125.47 62.4% upside ($125.47 - $77.26) / $77.26 = 62.4% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 10.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $112.83 from 55 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $112.76 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions