AMRX - Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$19.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$25.00
LOW:
$16.00
MEDIAN:
$19.00
CONSENSUS:
$19.75
UPSIDE:
9.78%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
14.5x
0.85$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
21.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.85, the base-case value is $12.23 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (17 analysts)
$19.75
Analyst Range
$16.00 – $25.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
38%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 284%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $19.75 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 38% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples