AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies American Homes 4 Rent as a Real Estate Investment Trust business and values it using P/FFO × Residential REIT Multiple, then compares the result to the current market price to flag AMH as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is American Homes 4 Rent's fair value?

Fair value for AMH comes from a P/FFO × Residential REIT Multiple model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Real Estate Investment Trust classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value AMH?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. AMH was classified as Real Estate Investment Trust and is valued using P/FFO × Residential REIT Multiple, built from AMH's most recent reported fundamentals.

AMH - American Homes 4 Rent

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $36.41 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Residential REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong

Trading 53.5% below fair value

Current Price $30.63

Bear Case $55.44 81.0% upside ($55.44 - $30.63) / $30.63 = 81.0% $2.67 FFO × 21x

Fair Value $65.83 114.9% upside ($65.83 - $30.63) / $30.63 = 114.9% $2.67 FFO × 25x

Bull Case $76.23 148.9% upside ($76.23 - $30.63) / $30.63 = 148.9% $2.67 FFO × 29x

Adjust Assumptions

P/FFO Multiple

24.7x

FFO per Share

2.67$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($2.67) × residential P/FFO multiple

Terminal Value % of EV

Implied Market Multiple 11.5x

Market is pricing in (growth)

Plain-Language Summary

At $2.67 FFO/share with a 25x residential REIT multiple, the base-case value is $65.83 per share. Dividend yield: 4.2%.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (36 analysts) $36.41

Analyst Range $31.00 – $39.00

Divergence from AlphaVal 81%

Warnings

⚠ Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $36.41 (from 36 analysts). Our estimate is 81% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify